Dimon In The Rough

$2 billion loss wakes people up early in the Morgan.

Over at J.P. Morgan, it feels like 2008 all over again.

Three weeks after CEO Jamie Dimon said “tempest in a teapot” when asked about the company’s renewed interest in credit derivative swaps, J.P. Morgan revealed that such trades resulted in over $2 billion in losses. The market immediately punished J.P. Morgan, by wiping out nearly 10% of its stock value in a single day.

Two facts make this loss all the more stark. First is that J.P. Morgan isn’t just an investment house. In the latter twentieth century J.P. Morgan benefited from deregulation, which allowed almost unlimited horizontal integration within the financial industry. As a result, J.P. Morgan is now the largest bank in the U.S.

“Too big to fail” almost doesn’t do it justice.

Secondly, we now know the lengths to which Dimon and company went in order to weaken the so-called “Volcker Rule,” which is designed to limit the amount of its own capital a bank can risk. It’s clear now that loopholes in the Volcker Rule, which J.P. Morgan lobbied heavily for, permitted precisely the sort of trading that just cost the company $2 billion.

There’s one hopeful glimmer, though. Perhaps heeding the Golden Rule of Public Relations (i.e., own up to your mistakes, immediately), Jamie Dimon is loudly and publicly admitting the company’s error.

“We were dead wrong,” he said on Meet the Press. “We made a terrible, egregious mistake. There’s almost no excuse for it.”

What comes next? Probably a lot less lobbying to weaken financial regulation. J.P. Morgan and others in the industry recognize this incident does far more to damage their credibility than it could ever do to their bottom line. So they probably won’t want to be seen jockeying for more loopholes, at least not in the short term.

And maybe that’ll lead to the ideal outcome: a financial industry governed by rules that quash recklessness while still encouraging growth. That is, after all, exactly what financial regulations are supposed to do.

The C4:

1. J.P. Morgan announced last week that credit-derivative trading has cost the company more than $2 billion over the course of about six weeks.
2. The day after the announcement, shares in JP Morgan lost nearly 10% of their value.
3. CEO Jamie Dimon quickly admitted culpability and promised a thorough investigation.
4. Only a robust system of financial checks and balances, that encourages growth through responsible business practices, can prevent those “too big to fail” from dragging us back into the nightmare of 2008.

Is Lehman's off the ropes?

Will the Wall Street cornerstone climb back in the ring?

Looking back, the financial collapse of 2008 seemed to move like a glacier: slowly, inexorably, unstoppably. But in the midst of that slow-mo meltdown, a few memorable events struck with tectonic suddenness, altering forever our financial landscape and leaving us to wonder if there could ever be a recovery from such unprecedented economic shock.

The worst, by far, had to be the September 2008 collapse of Lehman Brothers, a 161-year-old cornerstone of Wall Street investment banking. Like so many bank failures of the time, this one was fueled by twin mistakes: an over-investment in mortgage-backed securities, and an inadequate supply of capital to cover the bets that were destined to go sour. The only unique part of Lehman’s story was the scale: they went down holding nearly $1 trillion in debt, resulting in the largest bankruptcy in U.S. history.

Knowing that, what do you say when Lehman’s emerges from Chapter 11 a mere three and a half years later? “Miraculous,” is what the bankruptcy judge said, and he’s right.

Despite its bankruptcy, Lehman’s was always flush with assets. Their real-estate holdings include some of the world’s most profitable hotels and office space. They’ve got tens of billions in private-equity investments and corporate bonds. They even own a sizable stake of Formula One Racing.

The management of Lehman Brothers has spent the last three years creating a liquidation plan, to turn those assets into a payday for Lehman creditors. The first checks are scheduled to go out in April, and are expected to total about $65 billion, or 17 cents on the dollar.

Not a great return, but certainly better than nothing, and probably much better than most creditors expected. 

So which part is miraculous — that Lehman’s has emerged from bankruptcy, or that they seem to be doing all they can to make things right? Either way it’s a sight to behold, and it’s nice to believe in miracles again.

The C4:

1. Lehman Brothers filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy on September 15, 2008. It was the largest bankruptcy in U.S. history and one of the defining events of the Great Recession. 
2. Lehman’s is unwinding over $600 billion worth of debt by liquidating approximately $65 billion in assets.
3. After just three and a half years in bankruptcy, Lehman’s is emerging in March 2012 and beginning to repay creditors in April.
4. A concerted effort to do what’s right goes a long way toward fixing past mistakes.